Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ħamrun Spartans FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87fa6d665c262b0b1bf8de63b74cf9a26322ad96ce7b0d94ebfc4b822e2f32c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 2,156$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 28c | 1,773$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 67c | 1,205$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 678.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 27c | 175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 151.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 27c | 134$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 27c | 63.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 55.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 40.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 77c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ħamrun Spartans FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.