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Premier League · resolved market

Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9061…9510backed No43c199$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.433145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked No43c144$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked No43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked No44c114$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.842343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed No43c105$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.853751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed No43c103$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.714751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No43c82.89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2512048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes57c82.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.251,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed No43c67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.191662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No23c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Yes57c48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Yes57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.791258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Yes57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Yes57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.651450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Yes57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.652166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Yes57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Yes57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Yes57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes57c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.231776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Yes57c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Yes57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Yes56c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Yes57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.243256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Yes57c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.671861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Yes57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Yes56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Yes57c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.112356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Yes57c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Yes56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Yes57c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.