Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed53a100f32d435ce3765254d643502583ec1aa1f06c90c1e9aadfce477747d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hull City AFCof Middlesbrough FC, Hull City AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Middlesbrough FC | 32c | 240.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Hull City AFC | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hull City AFC | 71c | 212.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Hull City AFC | 67c | 196$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Hull City AFC | 67c | 138$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Hull City AFC | 67c | 114$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Hull City AFC | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hull City AFC | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Hull City AFC | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Hull City AFC | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.