Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8417bc5eeed12ed20d6860903a3bc9ea126a0e2a3f679047346af453450dfd1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,863$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 1,310$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.8 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 36c | 231$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 65c | 178$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 65c | 159$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 35c | 135.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 34c | 122$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 36c | 118$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Over | 35c | 106$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 35c | 95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Under | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Under | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Under | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Under | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Under | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.