NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Spartak Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x918ba3203902a3229af98b3bfafdd2b392af652db02775f2e44bbfb63f66fc26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof CSKA Moscow, Spartak Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 141$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Spartak Moscow | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Spartak Moscow | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Spartak Moscow | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Spartak Moscow | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Spartak Moscow | 43c | 64.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked CSKA Moscow | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked CSKA Moscow | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked CSKA Moscow | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked CSKA Moscow | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked CSKA Moscow | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked CSKA Moscow | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked CSKA Moscow | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.