Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7fdf81d909bddc5d71b4fca943a9ff82fea2220588c0871d8f401c297c5799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Marymount Lionsof Loyola Marymount Lions, North Alabama Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Alabama Lions | 46c | 279.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 127.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked North Alabama Lions | 51c | 124$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 113$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed North Alabama Lions | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked North Alabama Lions | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked North Alabama Lions | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-9.5)this page
- North Alabama Lions vs. Loyola Marymount LionsLoyola Marymount Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.