CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Impulse GW (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93b610417d7208e73bb2de5af7e1317e8ac825d5b8badd80b8d7830d5f2f45b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Rebels Gaming, Impulse GW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Impulse GW | 37c | 232$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Impulse GW | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Impulse GW | 37c | 119$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Impulse GW | 37c | 107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Impulse GW | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Impulse GW | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Impulse GW | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Impulse GW | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Impulse GW | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.