Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc10629094889ed5957abf12be0a6aac4d5aca70195fe2da2741beae329092c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 406.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 393$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Over | 48c | 247.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 231.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 45c | 191$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 55c | 147$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 46c | 146$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 55c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Under | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Under | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 46c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Under | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.