Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc850b0bc9febd6ee00371a30408e5f33b2f4fef00664b1fa0dc8f90e1d9825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 61c | 501.87$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 498.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 29c | 198$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 28c | 118$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 29c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 71c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.