Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab728eebfdf6ab9874052ea57781632919139461eba2ff81b8c5c66116bfbad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 78c | 275.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 242$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Over | 24c | 191$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 24c | 149$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 76c | 113$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 76c | 108$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 26c | 99.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Under | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Under | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Under | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Under | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Under | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Under | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Under | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Under | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.