Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b3f2e03b25d8bdbc8245e762babf22d81808ba5ef13e851655885420c8a81e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf79d…4b58backed No | 49c | 214$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 48c | 156$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked No | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Yes | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Yes | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Yes | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Yes | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 24.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Yes | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.