NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x429e3836b70e7d5d1c7543f37838b37a55f1912b6497621b1818580fb15d361f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Jets, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7178…0c07backed Jets | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 64c | 9,920$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Blues | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 64c | 1,959$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.28 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Blues | 65c | 1,505$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Jets | 35c | 1,505$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jets | 36c | 1,362$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f5…1678backed Jets | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Blues | 65c | 202$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Blues | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Blues | 66c | 149$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Blues | 65c | 146$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Blues | 65c | 122$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blues | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Blues | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…4572backed Blues | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Blues | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Blues | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Blues | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Blues | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Jets | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Jets | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Jets | 33c | 48.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Jets | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Jets | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f47…d903backed Jets | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Jets | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Blues | 65c | 36.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Jets | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Jets | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0945…4ec9backed Jets | 34c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Jets | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Jets | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Blues | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Blues | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Blues | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blues | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Blues | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Blues | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Blues | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Blues | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Jets | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Jets | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Blues | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Jets | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Jets | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Jets | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. BluesBlues won
- Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.