NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228038988cb6b4d95a2a67bd8c25999b569d9bcb30c37bf15088d784ebc5813c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 2,159$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.08 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Under | 50c | 2,029$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Over | 50c | 2,029$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 1,258$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.61 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 51c | 980.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 862.32$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 51c | 715.69$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.69 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 49c | 436.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 243$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 241$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 50c | 181$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…e22bbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 50c | 109$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 108.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 84.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Over | 52c | 71.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…f5e6backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…165ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 32.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. BluesBlues won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.