South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a3e9955c2502713c224c8b2a66c77da61e8019e9085bfaedf72a4a4f69cd5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 71c | 4,925$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 4,649$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 66c | 2,438$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.78 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 34c | 2,226$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.16 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,514$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 984.89$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.1 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 26c | 670$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.13 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 34c | 600.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.53 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 503.55$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 24c | 448.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.31 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 241.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 182.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 76c | 143$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 121.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 10c | 119.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 24c | 105$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…cbc5backed Yes | 35c | 65.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 64c | 57.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 29c | 57.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 75c | 53.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed Yes | 39c | 51.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 60c | 45.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…87f8backed Yes | 76c | 38.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 36c | 36.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 32.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 59c | 28.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 18.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…818fbacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-01-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.