South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd87940348fad3b22dcaae7ac1c5f08a684170cfbada9b113a438fb40be9407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 724.26$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 708.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Yes | 8c | 631$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 527$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 73c | 463.01$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 401.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 308$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 292.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…85dbbacked Yes | 6c | 171$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 26c | 115.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 86.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…8772backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 24c | 49.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…a81ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed No | 72c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-27?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.