NHL · resolved market
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Nurnberg Ice Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c3b10d973bb24d206f74bbda73846bcff04b15003470d0ebf9615549f35417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nurnberg Ice Tigersof Augsburger Panther, Nurnberg Ice Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Augsburger Panther | 45c | 249.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…f8c3backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…0d9cbacked Augsburger Panther | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 53c | 109.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Augsburger Panther | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Augsburger Panther | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 55c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Augsburger Panther | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Augsburger Panther | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Augsburger Panther | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Augsburger Panther | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Augsburger Panther | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Augsburger Panther | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Augsburger Panther | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Augsburger Panther | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Augsburger Panther | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Augsburger Panther | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Augsburger Panther | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.