La Liga · resolved market
Will Ourense CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ff5a628e54aa798c6e27c8041d11aa072a285bb775b615b1f16301aeebcf1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 41c | 2,453$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,694$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.55 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 887.28$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 72c | 500$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.63 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 42c | 464.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 44c | 238.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Yes | 44c | 226.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 31c | 211.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 22c | 178$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 76c | 164.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 66c | 148.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…0528backed Yes | 44c | 135.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 22c | 109$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 64c | 100.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 22c | 99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 22c | 97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 91.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 22c | 89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…1169backed Yes | 48c | 71.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 78c | 66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 22c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 78c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 67c | 32.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked No | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 14.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ourense CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?No won
- Will Ourense CF win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.