Tennis · resolved market
Volynets vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e929fb2b2057c1beae04f84a0659eec5960d9534f00be0c0b732f99f0dd443c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 22c | 109$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 23c | 108$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 23c | 62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Under | 77c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Under | 77c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Under | 77c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Under | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Under | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Under | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Under | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Under | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Volynets vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5this page
- Ostrava Open: Katie Volynets vs Alycia ParksVolynets won
- Set 1 Winner: Volynets vs ParksParks won
- Set Handicap: Parks (-1.5) vs Volynets (+1.5)Volynets won
- Volynets vs. Parks: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Volynets vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Volynets vs. Parks: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.