TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 148.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c541.56$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over46c465.53$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over43c288$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.847245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Over46c221$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.667146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over46c201$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.468043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over46c161$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.066955.1%38 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over46c159$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.626453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under51c128$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.726546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Under56c92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.884362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under51c92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.083647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Over43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.846950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Under54c81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.262857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88252.4%43 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over46c78.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Under56c76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.642948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Over46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.55541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.126743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Over43c71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.533935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over43c67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.815942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.363246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Under54c63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.983342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Under54c61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.062763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over46c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.147648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.917060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Under54c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.543663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Under57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Under57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Under57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Under57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Under57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Under54c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Under54c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Over45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.253158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.053447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Under57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.922548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Under54c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.782962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over43c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.064748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Under55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93669.4%25 W · 11 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Under54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.762958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.275844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Over44c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.044254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.627243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Under57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.024148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Under54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.642846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Under54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.722454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Under54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.722365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Under56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.643959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Over48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.834060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.183852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Under54c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.343644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Over49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.726253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Under54c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.423855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Over48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Under54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.963363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Over49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.743348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Over46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e5…9fcabacked Under54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.582040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Under54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.583259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Under54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.783256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Under54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Under54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.123066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Over49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.783050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb570…25dbbacked Over49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Under57c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.032454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed Over49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Under57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.742161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.