NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090d86c61c1fe372c20e4ab90e72dc7903da1b3da08e4830db8280da94a1242c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Traktor | 37c | 199.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 155.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Traktor | 35c | 105.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Traktor | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Traktor | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Traktor | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 70.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Ak Bars Kazan | 63c | 70.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Traktor | 38c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Ak Bars Kazan | 63c | 65.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Traktor | 35c | 56.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Traktor | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Traktor | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 31.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -77%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…8384backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.