Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Furman Paladins (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd0c4c5b57148ea858046dc4cc03e3d02579e7e8b438b49a65a3615d0e1f2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Furman Paladins, Chattanooga Mocs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Furman Paladins | 51c | 5,000$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.46 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 50c | 3,403$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Chattanooga Mocs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 1,029$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 714.64$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Chattanooga Mocs | 54c | 513$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 49c | 501$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chattanooga Mocs | 42c | 335.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Chattanooga Mocs | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 139.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Chattanooga Mocs | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Chattanooga Mocs | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Chattanooga Mocs | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Chattanooga Mocs | 53c | 52.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Furman Paladins | 51c | 48.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Furman Paladins | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Furman Paladins | 51c | 38.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chattanooga Mocs | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Chattanooga Mocs | 52c | 20.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-2.5)this page
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga MocsFurman Paladins won
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 144.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 145.5Under won
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 146.5Under won
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-1.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.