Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f33849e9dad79f462ba52d92f9194c3443209c4f0463d85676b4b195b02981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 844.4$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 800.42$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Over | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Over | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 31c | 374.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 272.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 259.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 244$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 36c | 137$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 103$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 76c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Under | 79c | 84.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 32.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 145.5this page
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga MocsFurman Paladins won
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 144.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 146.5Under won
- Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-1.5)Furman Paladins won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-2.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.