Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022b1d40d65941196a40f4157daa3c3023420e62364b8f212e3773f111947d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Yes | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 140.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed No | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed No | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked No | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 43.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.