TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Villanova Wildcatsof Villanova Wildcats, Temple Owls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,172 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Temple Owls48c2,000$960 inLost-$9605944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Villanova Wildcats52c1,366$711 inWon+$655.7912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats52c372$193 inWon+$178.565,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82b5…1d1dbacked Villanova Wildcats55c363.64$200 inWon+$163.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Temple Owls48c145.83$70 inLost-$7079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Temple Owls49c129$63 inLost-$63.213043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Temple Owls49c72$35 inLost-$35.286648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Temple Owls49c66$32 inLost-$32.344748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Villanova Wildcats51c55$28 inWon+$26.952055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Villanova Wildcats51c53$27 inWon+$25.972441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Temple Owls49c53$26 inLost-$25.975147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Villanova Wildcats51c50$26 inWon+$24.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Villanova Wildcats51c36$18 inWon+$17.642846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Villanova Wildcats55c35.45$19 inWon+$15.955550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb570…25dbbacked Villanova Wildcats51c31$16 inWon+$15.191346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Villanova Wildcats51c24$12 inWon+$11.762552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Temple Owls50c20$10 inLost-$1010048%48 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.