Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c2b2a81932127ca94830a68e14449d672ec12856c28b64edd27f457c9e04ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villanova Wildcatsof Temple Owls, Villanova Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Temple Owls | 15c | 38,763$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.51 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Temple Owls | 12c | 14,177$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.91 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Temple Owls | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Temple Owls | 15c | 7,850$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.33 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Temple Owls | 9c | 5,625$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Temple Owls | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Temple Owls | 10c | 1,993$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…1506backed Temple Owls | 10c | 1,669$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Temple Owls | 10c | 1,567$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Temple Owls | 8c | 1,420$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Temple Owls | 14c | 1,334$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Temple Owls | 14c | 1,303$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Temple Owls | 10c | 1,022$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Temple Owls | 8c | 977.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Temple Owls | 11c | 913$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Temple Owls | 7c | 846.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Temple Owls | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Temple Owls | 8c | 561.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Temple Owls | 9c | 537$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499d…65ecbacked Temple Owls | 6c | 529.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Temple Owls | 14c | 501.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…47e8backed Temple Owls | 7c | 443.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Temple Owls | 9c | 417.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…e28cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Temple Owls | 18c | 384.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Temple Owls | 9c | 144.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Temple Owls | 12c | 117.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-12.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-13.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-14.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 148.5Under won
- Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 149.5Under won
- Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 150.5Under won
- Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.