Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc3afdb35b0a68b74213ea73de2bbc43b9337edee3cbaa8cbe4f8be0eb822bc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,361$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.88 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 59c | 1,244$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.18 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 47c | 1,124$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Over | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 515.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…3b60backed Over | 53c | 472.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 419.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 52c | 328.08$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…ed55backed Over | 12c | 204.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +719.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under | 60c | 195$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 48c | 182$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 48c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 52c | 107.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 44c | 103.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 57c | 88.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 43c | 62.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 24c | 49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…14debacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.