Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x466dcbee21f7a92bf7630ccc76ee9e3dbf7e64e8a5add3c56fdbdf5ca4398960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 73c | 2,622$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 53c | 1,883$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 1,417$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 1,016$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 27c | 980$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Over | 66c | 608.97$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 27c | 490$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under | 37c | 268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 233.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 55c | 186.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 75c | 133.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 25c | 129.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 75c | 67.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Over | 75c | 66.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…8fccbacked Under | 29c | 41.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf976…5ebebacked Over | 74c | 31.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 68c | 27.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.