Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb65040338f89a560a87f515c46b37ac22f5e30f1bd6d8d5cd59325b4a57549a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizanof Partizan, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 8,115$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.18 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 49c | 2,450$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.74 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Partizan | 56c | 2,103$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Partizan | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.49 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Partizan | 51c | 1,283$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.57 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Partizan | 52c | 1,061$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Partizan | 54c | 932.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.32 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Partizan | 57c | 780.54$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.16 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 44c | 718.49$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.92 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Partizan | 59c | 666.18$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.38 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed FC Bayern Munchen | 38c | 631.45$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 631.1$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.57 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 43c | 470.86$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Partizan | 53c | 369.79$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 269.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Partizan | 54c | 266.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 225.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Partizan | 46c | 214$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…8507backed FC Bayern Munchen | 59c | 199.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern Munchen | 42c | 182$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Partizan | 40c | 111.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Partizan | 59c | 102.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 100.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Partizan | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Partizan | 52c | 87.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 38c | 72.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed FC Bayern Munchen | 29c | 65.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed FC Bayern Munchen | 57c | 54.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Partizan | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed FC Bayern Munchen | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Partizan | 35c | 38.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Partizan | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Partizan | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 57c | 24.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Partizan | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Partizan | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…c0a9backed Partizan | 61c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Partizan | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.