Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7dbeb767f6143799f4def42a6a7b825e851cd7b4046fd9fb651236acd950a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 43c | 977.19$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 59c | 703$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 605.11$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 46c | 473.19$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 54c | 184.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 52c | 179$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 52c | 169$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 52c | 166$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 52c | 152$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 59c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 166.5this page
- Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 161.5Over won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 163.5Over won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 164.5Over won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 165.5Over won
- Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-17.5)Denver Pioneers won
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-18.5)Denver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.