Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2369e1b76efaf51b0de2e9d8cff04bbc4ad734a148cb5b7d88fb445c467af116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angers SCOof Le Havre AC, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Le Havre AC | 35c | 2,566$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.35 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 16c | 639.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Angers SCO | 66c | 483.13$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Angers SCO | 77c | 260.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Le Havre AC | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Le Havre AC | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Le Havre AC | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Le Havre AC | 15c | 71.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Le Havre AC | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Angers SCO | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Angers SCO | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Angers SCO | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Angers SCO | 65c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Angers SCO | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Angers SCO | 78c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Angers SCO | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Angers SCO | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Angers SCO | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Angers SCO | 80c | 13.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Angers SCO | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.