Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8050f998e9d018a137d8100a605985da1a9c76f29405343070d65bc67ad85515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 31c | 3,456$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.62 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 68c | 3,056$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 68c | 793.52$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 547.8$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 68c | 89.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 69c | 73.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 68c | 45.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…f83fbacked Under | 32c | 45.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 27c | 45.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 70c | 37.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 32c | 33.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…865abacked Over | 71c | 17.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.