Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ca8f6c6cc6858d9a35b78a685467eb45f4159bd53999351278e64c311f3b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 6,578$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.01 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 3,865$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.96 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 41c | 2,505$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 56c | 2,201$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.76 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 2,016$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.21 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 1,524$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.56 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 42c | 1,495$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.1 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked Under | 63c | 845.79$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 42c | 645.12$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.17 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 37c | 614.37$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 55c | 509.14$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.03 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 55c | 360.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 358$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 58c | 237.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 213.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 36c | 203$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 66c | 151.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 87.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 37c | 74.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 55c | 65.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 60c | 64.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 55c | 57.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Over | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 58c | 45.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 55c | 38.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 37.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 63c | 18.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 61c | 16.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.