Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0d6ba0cf75aeb7d39d525b9735d3f6efe7b8c1eee1649adb98de13d897cb40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof UC Irvine Anteaters, Belmont Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 3,266$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.99 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 870$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 168.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Belmont Bruins | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Belmont Bruins | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 102$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Belmont Bruins | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 55.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Belmont Bruins | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)this page
- Belmont Bruins vs. UC Irvine AnteatersBelmont Bruins won
- Belmont Bruins vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.