Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. UC Irvine Anteaters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ea7f72fce960210103ebfc9f65a0b30275787496addfd654ba55f81b35725d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, UC Irvine Anteaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 3,726$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.26 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Belmont Bruins | 59c | 2,560$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.39 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Belmont Bruins | 58c | 2,241$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.98 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 2,090$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Belmont Bruins | 46c | 1,875$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 1,708$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Belmont Bruins | 75c | 1,394$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.78 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Belmont Bruins | 56c | 1,287$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 17c | 1,095$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 33c | 793.22$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Belmont Bruins | 57c | 675.8$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 32c | 655.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 39c | 564.53$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 21c | 541.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Belmont Bruins | 46c | 500$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed Belmont Bruins | 78c | 453.87$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Belmont Bruins | 46c | 344$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Belmont Bruins | 46c | 331.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 41c | 287.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 264.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Belmont Bruins | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 213.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 135.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 35c | 135$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Belmont Bruins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 35c | 106.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 94.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…2b2bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 56c | 73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 69.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Belmont Bruins | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Belmont Bruins | 65c | 47.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Belmont Bruins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Belmont Bruins | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 33.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Belmont Bruins | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Belmont Bruins | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Belmont Bruins | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Belmont Bruins | 46c | 24.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Belmont Bruins | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 22.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Belmont Bruins | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…4775backed Belmont Bruins | 74c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. UC Irvine Anteatersthis page
- Belmont Bruins vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)Belmont Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.