La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce0b96ee62ea56e8e292915c281c018d91321bb373d71c5b08f982b0d93fc123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 1c | 18,117$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 1c | 1,602$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,015$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.31 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 61c | 555.32$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.94 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 426.92$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 335.69$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 55c | 196.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 196.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 60c | 148$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 30c | 124$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 29c | 96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 27c | 91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 70c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked No | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 29c | 43.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 56c | 39.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed No | 70c | 22.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2025-12-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.