La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2025-12-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ccf6fdebd58da629c93019c391c41dac08e688a68f7373c6df5f78f85844232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 453.14$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 25c | 398.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 58c | 391$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.58 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 67c | 319.77$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 71c | 258$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 192.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 40c | 164.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 30c | 135.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 28c | 123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 108.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked No | 70c | 106.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 29c | 40.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 39.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 36.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 27.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…750fbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 73c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2025-12-17?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?No won
- Will SD Huesca vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.