NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys Astana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04f627c8b813b8f673a8bdd82bcbde49886e86c575e0bf4e4ed6ebb47a3107c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barys Astanaof HC Dynamo Moscow, Barys Astana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Barys Astana | 25c | 259$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Barys Astana | 25c | 227$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Barys Astana | 25c | 163$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Barys Astana | 25c | 141$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Barys Astana | 25c | 77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Barys Astana | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Barys Astana | 25c | 54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Barys Astana | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Barys Astana | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Barys Astana | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Barys Astana | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 24.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.