NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc56e4f067c98f25b181b43eefa42d243dc5f02de0a1c64f219eca02e47dca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 48c | 17,140$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,226.18 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Under | 48c | 7,700$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…4b3bbacked Over | 52c | 7,700$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 52c | 6,399$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.65 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95d…7316backed Over | 51c | 5,491$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…482abacked Under | 49c | 5,491$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 57c | 5,365$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 48c | 5,209$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Over | 52c | 4,220$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 46c | 3,660$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.5 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 53c | 2,854$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.35 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,641$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 53c | 2,201$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.62 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 52c | 2,130$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 2,098$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…8cccbacked Over | 52c | 1,970$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,773$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 52c | 1,125$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.15 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 44c | 971.25$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 794.67$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 648$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 640$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…6fe9backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 52c | 425$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 55c | 322.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 56c | 321.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 52c | 159.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 144.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Under | 49c | 144.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…f79bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Over | 53c | 59.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 52c | 50.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 52c | 22.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.