NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd454a27758f0776d34e48f870fd714304ead0b60a64d33fe748c1a0ff3e01aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 50c | 27,520$13,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,760 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 27,020$13,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,510 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 16,448$8,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,768.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 48c | 3,860$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.8 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 3,752$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 28c | 874.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 851.06$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.65 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 46c | 745.02$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.71 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Under | 45c | 694.18$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.38 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 678.23$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 531.37$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.37 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Over | 52c | 388.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 290.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 197.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 57c | 193.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…fa80backed Under | 48c | 192.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 132.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 55c | 131.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 46c | 85.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…be17backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 48c | 41.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 42c | 32.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…cb31backed Under | 48c | 28.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…1992backed Under | 52c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.