NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d61292e2d37f3e0b9a7cf5b6c688891ae4d14de196a1acb66ce9a92145b3e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Trail Blazers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pelicans | 53c | 11,294$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.5 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 10,027$4,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.46 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,686$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,093$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 3,302$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.22 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,176$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.72 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,131$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.49 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.28 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,981$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Pelicans | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,354$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,253$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.28 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,129$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.85 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 955$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.85 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 807.18$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…d8febacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Pelicans | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 420.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Pelicans | 53c | 392.45$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…4867backed Pelicans | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 381.74$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 321.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pelicans | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Pelicans | 53c | 219$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Pelicans | 52c | 194.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pelicans | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…7d01backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 124.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans | 51c | 122.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7050backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…a324backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…d693backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Pelicans | 48c | 79.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…0427backed Pelicans | 52c | 76.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…2e1dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 76.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…4dafbacked Pelicans | 53c | 71.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Pelicans | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc968…c59bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Pelicans | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Pelicans | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Pelicans | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Pelicans | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…b7e9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 36.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…17c3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 33.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Pelicans | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pelicans | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 26.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…6dd4backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.