NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3654ad7494d5e88ea5846559acbc8cac50c2727b001944ffc8bfbfd099bbea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Trail Blazers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $657,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Pelicans | 51c | 386,342$197,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,342.24 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 250,000$122,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,499.99 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Pelicans | 51c | 225,107$115,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,106.7 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 35,411$17,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,406.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 33,115$15,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,825.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 30,588$15,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,233.76 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 18,888$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,255.12 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Pelicans | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 8,416$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,884$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,664$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,256$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.88 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,106$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 764$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 551.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 499.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 476.47$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 326.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…fdf1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 312.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 231.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 168.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 145.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 145.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Pelicans | 50c | 144.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Pelicans | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pelicans | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pelicans | 56c | 74.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Pelicans | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 47c | 49.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Pelicans | 70c | 43.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Pelicans | 70c | 36.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Pelicans | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Pelicans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Pelicans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 28.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 25.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Pelicans | 50c | 22.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.