NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768b4682f0a888861201171aec7d659a5f35b8b748a1bd3e720b481b1d739cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 59c | 27,453$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,212.55 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 18,749$7,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,670.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 49c | 6,110$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 2,770$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 960$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 44c | 825$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Under | 42c | 487$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 417$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 57c | 329.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 41c | 229$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 40c | 188.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 59c | 168$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 44c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 41c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 45c | 61.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 48.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 34.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 57c | 19.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.