Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda636ae31d30b407ba02354bed50dbd709bb5aa78f4ecaaebc17a7d2c50d0e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Northern Iowa Panthers, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed UIC Flames | 47c | 3,587$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.89 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 60c | 466.84$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed UIC Flames | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed UIC Flames | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed UIC Flames | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UIC Flames | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 49c | 140.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed UIC Flames | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed UIC Flames | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UIC Flames | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed UIC Flames | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked UIC Flames | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed UIC Flames | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed UIC Flames | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…8200backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked UIC Flames | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed UIC Flames | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed UIC Flames | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed UIC Flames | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed UIC Flames | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-4.5)this page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC FlamesNorthern Iowa Panthers won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-3.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.