CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x411b850c9f32569aaf8856959dd1f62ce9393b3510ed549ab7b0b9a2533d910a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Crashers | 18c | 1,988$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.07 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed ShindeN | 76c | 1,854$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.73 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 72c | 678.65$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Crashers | 22c | 630$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Crashers | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Crashers | 29c | 265.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Crashers | 10c | 251.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Crashers | 12c | 210.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Crashers | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…9a5ebacked ShindeN | 70c | 146.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Crashers | 22c | 121.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Crashers | 30c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Crashers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Crashers | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed ShindeN | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Crashers | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Crashers | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ShindeN | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Crashers | 28c | 45.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked ShindeN | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked ShindeN | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed ShindeN | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked ShindeN | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked ShindeN | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed ShindeN | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed ShindeN | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed ShindeN | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed ShindeN | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed ShindeN | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked ShindeN | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked ShindeN | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked ShindeN | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.