NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73a450831d356a27dccb69756adfca50e5afef3800508d94c163e1c0e414268b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0661…d210backed Traktor | 33c | 2,345$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…85dbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 1,855$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 1,701$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.16 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…24f9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…9e13backed Traktor | 33c | 1,279$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Traktor | 29c | 1,266$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed Traktor | 33c | 1,115$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 1,105$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…7a48backed Traktor | 33c | 1,062$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Traktor | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…9d85backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 997$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…bfa5backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 842$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…5290backed Traktor | 33c | 559$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 490$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked Traktor | 33c | 437$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 427$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 398.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Traktor | 27c | 342.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 282$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…cf22backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 273$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Traktor | 28c | 228.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked Traktor | 18c | 219.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…b669backed Traktor | 28c | 190.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Traktor | 28c | 172$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Traktor | 33c | 164$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…42cbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Traktor | 29c | 126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 117.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Traktor | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Traktor | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Traktor | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…5b04backed Traktor | 37c | 59.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Traktor | 33c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Traktor | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Traktor | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Traktor | 29c | 40.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 40.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 22.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…6e0dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 66c | 20.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…d781backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.