TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Mary's Gaelsof Saint Mary's Gaels, Loyola Marymount Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b4…34a8backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c4,652$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.7235452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Loyola Marymount Lions22c4,263$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.7919050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels79c3,377$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.2423158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c3,027$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.3927955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Mary's Gaels75c3,024$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Loyola Marymount Lions21c2,421$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.111,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Loyola Marymount Lions42c1,666$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.062755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions18c1,491$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.491,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208a…9452backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c1,300$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7914…38dcbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c1,300$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Loyola Marymount Lions9c1,283$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c610$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions19c591.01$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2952928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions45c554.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Saint Mary's Gaels59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Marymount Lions19c385.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.795,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels76c382.09$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.391,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions40c360.8$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c298.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1221535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c279$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.85253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Saint Mary's Gaels74c268.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Saint Mary's Gaels75c249.1$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.877467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Marymount Lions25c242.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.694,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c217.17$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.482,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Loyola Marymount Lions20c202$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.47255.6%40 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53fc…92b3backed Loyola Marymount Lions21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions18c187.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c167$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.46546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c166$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.23447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Loyola Marymount Lions20c159$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c156$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions21c155.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.851,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Saint Mary's Gaels73c142.81$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.082462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Saint Mary's Gaels71c140.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.692650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275639.3%22 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Loyola Marymount Lions22c126.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c125.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Loyola Marymount Lions22c124.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c118$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c118$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c113$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions21c103.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7817546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels79c94.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Loyola Marymount Lions20c92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27335.6%26 W · 47 L-9.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions20c86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions20c82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.44358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Loyola Marymount Lions26c78.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions20c68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66955.1%38 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions20c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Loyola Marymount Lions19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.63852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Saint Mary's Gaels74c56.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Loyola Marymount Lions20c56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Loyola Marymount Lions19c52.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0765825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Loyola Marymount Lions26c41.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.