Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Runa Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf39359143b616f1b61e4cbde2de3c4f8dcdd6a4403b21ac031f384ab7b0b8889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Runa Teamof Nigma Galaxy, Runa Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3450…6793backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 9,643$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,975.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Runa Team | 47c | 5,861$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.33 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Runa Team | 48c | 5,432$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.62 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 4,895$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Runa Team | 45c | 4,790$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.65 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Runa Team | 31c | 3,304$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.12 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Runa Team | 33c | 2,687$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 2,544$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,583$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,510$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Runa Team | 38c | 1,390$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.79 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Runa Team | 39c | 1,041$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.97 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,035$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,012$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 859$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.53 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Runa Team | 45c | 836.07$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.03 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 789.86$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.94 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Runa Team | 26c | 694$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Runa Team | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 539.57$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 537.34$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Runa Team | 44c | 467.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.76 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Runa Team | 30c | 391.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.29 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Runa Team | 32c | 307.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Runa Team | 59c | 296.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 293.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 292.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 251.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Runa Team | 56c | 248.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 225.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Runa Team | 31c | 220.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 172.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…e7f9backed Runa Team | 33c | 155$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae0…ae55backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 155$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Runa Team | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…5050backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 147.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Runa Team | 69c | 142.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 139.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Runa Team | 40c | 113.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed Runa Team | 59c | 107.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Runa Team | 48c | 101.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Runa Team | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Runa Team | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Runa Team | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 82.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Runa Team | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Runa Team | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…1987backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Runa Team | 26c | 67.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Runa Team | 33c | 60.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 55.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Runa Team | 31c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…7948backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 49.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Runa Team | 41c | 49.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…d4abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Runa Team | 59c | 47.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 45.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 44.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Runa Team | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Runa Team | 34c | 39.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…a23ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Runa Team | 60c | 35.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Runa Team | 47c | 32.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Runa Team | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Runa Team | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa725…b6b8backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 28.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Runa Team | 47c | 27.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…3440backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 26.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…e6cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 18.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…38d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 17.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 12.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Runa Team (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Runa Team - Game 1 WinnerRuna Team won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Runa Team - Game 2 WinnerRuna Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.