Premier League · resolved market
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2868e3462d4426835e82a536a53c026734a72f4579cdf43edebcaaab75a27101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 74c | 469.74$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 29c | 153$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 29c | 144$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 29c | 123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Over | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.