NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48e35d07946c21d5ca6baa857dea703139bfc0b469f4c1c8947ee4e2860907e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 54c | 6,111$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.11 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 1,282$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.65 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 443.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 52c | 410.53$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 392.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 47c | 292$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 47c | 196$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 180.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 46c | 171.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 49c | 112.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 47c | 112$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Under | 48c | 20.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. UtahPredators won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.