NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be1d07c2907e9e5dc1210e44a0c3c7e4b670b54148cc3bef0c1ff46ef689217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Utah, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah | 37c | 1,062$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.07 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Predators | 66c | 999.3$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.18 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Predators | 63c | 833$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Predators | 63c | 378.38$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Utah | 37c | 378.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Predators | 66c | 170$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 66c | 158.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Predators | 66c | 139$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Predators | 66c | 138$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Utah | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Predators | 64c | 102.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Predators | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Utah | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Predators | 66c | 99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Predators | 66c | 97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Predators | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Utah | 34c | 88.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Predators | 66c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Predators | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 66c | 64.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Predators | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Predators | 66c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Predators | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Utah | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Utah | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Utah | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Utah | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Utah | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Utah | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Utah | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Utah | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Predators | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Utah | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Predators | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Utah | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Utah | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Utah | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Utah | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Utah | 42c | 35.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Utah | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Utah | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Predators | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Predators | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Predators | 65c | 25.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. UtahPredators won
- Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.